Newzoo says GTA 6 pre-orders are the strongest ever, 37-51 million week one?

So Newzoo dropped some numbers and they're pretty wild. They're calling GTA 6's pre-order campaign the strongest on record, and they think it's on track to move somewhere between 37 and 51 million copies in the first week alone.

For context, pre-orders went live June 25th. Standard is $80, Ultimate is $100, and you get that Vintage Vice City Pack as a bonus. Apparently in just the first week of pre-orders, around $260 million was spent. That's before the game is even out.

I know analysts love throwing big numbers around, but this feels different. The hype is real, and Rockstar's been feeding it just enough. Two trailers, a slow drip of info, and the whole community is basically vibrating. 37 million units in a week would smash GTA V's launch, and that game did $1 billion in three days. If the average price is somewhere around $90 with the Ultimate Edition mix, 51 million units would be... a lot of money.

I'm trying to wrap my head around what that kind of launch even looks like. Servers melting, physical copies vanishing, midnight lines wrapping around blocks. It's gonna be an event. The question is whether these estimates hold up once we get closer to November 19. A lot can happen between now and then.

What do you all think, are these numbers realistic or is Newzoo just riding the hype train?

Source: VGC · Curated content.