RDR2 just hit 87 million copies sold, GTA 6 is gonna be absolutely massive

Take-Two's latest earnings report dropped and Red Dead Redemption 2 is now at 87 million units. That's up from 86 million last quarter, so it's still moving copies even after all these years. For a single-player focused game that came out in 2018, those are insane legs.

GTA V is still the king at 210+ million, but RDR2 is quietly becoming one of the best-selling games ever. And it's a slow-burn cowboy game. Now imagine what GTA 6 is going to do with the hype it already has. Pre-orders are already "exceptional" according to Take-Two, and we haven't even seen the extended look yet.

Rockstar's track record speaks for itself. Every major release they've put out since GTA III has been a cultural event. RDR2's 87 million is just a warm-up for what's coming in November. The question isn't if GTA 6 will break records, it's by how much.

What's your guess for GTA 6 first-year sales? I'm thinking 50 million minimum.

Source: Insider Gaming · Curated content.

RDR2's numbers are wild, no argument there. But GTA V hit 210 million across three generations and a decade of re-releases. GTA 6 is PS5 and Series X|S only at launch, and that install base isn't infinite.

Take-Two calling pre-orders exceptional is literally their job. They hype NBA 2K the same way every August. I'll believe the momentum after the August 27 extended look drops and we see if casual players actually bite.

50 million in year one feels high. RDR2 did roughly 23 million in its first year, and that had a cross-gen launch plus PC hype. If GTA 6 cracks 35 million by November 2027, that's already a monster. Hate that I'm the one saying it. Hope I'm wrong.

Flashback FM taught us mood is everything! Those 87 million cowboys are just the warm-up act for Leonida's opening needle drop!

ok so

install base isn't infinite

35 million by November 2027

Sounds optimistic. I'll still be stuck in the tutorial by then.

Big sales don't matter if the pursuit AI is still last-gen.

I'm hoping that budget means Leonida PD gets proper loadouts and a tiered response matrix. RDR2 had one horse and a repeater. We need squad coordination, air units, and an actual manhunt protocol.

Thirty-five million or fifty. Just don't let the AI drive into a wall.