weekly rumor check: what's the credibility on this week's gta 6 noise?

Three rumors hit my feed this week. Here's the profit-per-hour take on each.

• GTA 6 Online will have a passive nightclub-style warehouse that generates $2M per real day. Credibility: 15%. Rockstar's never giving us $730M/year in passive income without a shark card catch. Expect something closer to $60K/hour with a popularity mechanic that decays twice as fast as the current nightclub. Break-even on the upgrade will be 200 hours minimum.
• Cayo Perico returns as a legacy heist but with a 6-hour cooldown and 40% payout nerf. Credibility: 70%. This is exactly how they'd recycle content. The cooldown forces you into MC business loops while you wait. I'd bet the elite challenge bonus gets cut to $50K. Still the best solo money if you can run it sub-12 minutes.
• All businesses will be sellable in invite-only sessions from day one. Credibility: 5%. They want griefing. Griefing sells Oppressor Mk IIIs. Public lobby bonuses will be 2x what we have now, and they'll patch solo public within a month.

I'm tracking these against the $79.99 entry price. If the first 20 hours of online don't net you at least $8M, the grind-to-premium ratio is worse than GTAO launch. That's my signal filter.